there is sooooo much time between know and then that anything could happen (good or bad). The only was to get a real head count is about 1-2 days before the event. Trust me, the last 2 trips, people would say they are going 100% positive, then would back out at the last minute. It always seems like there is going to be a big turnout of MJ's, 7-8, then there ends up being only 3-4 (like the last 2 times)